Chifley – Australia 2019

ALP 19.2%

Incumbent MP
Ed Husic, since 2010.

Geography
Western Sydney. Chifley covers western parts of the City of Blacktown. Chifley covers parts of the suburb of Blacktown and the neighbouring suburbs of Doonside, Mount Druitt, Rooty Hill, Marayong, Quakers Hill and a number of other suburbs in the northwestern parts of Blacktown council area.

History
Chifley was created for the 1969 election, and has always been a safe seat for the ALP. The seat was first won in 1969 by the ALP’s John Armitage, who had previously held the neighbouring seat of Mitchell for one term from 1961 to 1963.

Armitage held the seat until his retirement at the 1983 election, when he was succeeded by Russell Gorman. Gorman transferred to the new seat of Greenway at the 1984 election, and Chifley was won by Deputy Mayor of Blacktown Roger Price. Gorman held Greenway until his retirement in 1996, while Price has been re-elected in Chifley at every election from 1984 until 2007, and retired in 2010.

Ed Husic was elected in Chifley in 2010. Husic had previously ran for Greenway unsuccessfully in 2004. Husic was re-elected in 2013 and 2016.

Candidates

  • Josh Green (Christian Democratic Party)
  • Ammar Aziz Khan (Independent)
  • Joseph Oscar O’Connor (United Australia)
  • Brent John Robertson (Greens)
  • Livingston Chettipally (Liberal)
  • Ed Husic (Labor)
  • Assessment
    Chifley is a very safe Labor seat.

    2016 result

    CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
    Ed Husic Labor 52,27861.1+8.4
    Mohit Kumar Liberal 19,39422.7-9.2
    Joshua GreenChristian Democratic Party7,8209.1+5.7
    Eliza James Greens 3,8834.5+1.9
    Ammar KhanIndependent2,1942.6+0.4
    Informal7,7858.3

    2016 two-party-preferred result

    CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
    Ed Husic Labor 59,20269.2+8.3
    Mohit Kumar Liberal 26,36730.8-8.3

    Booth breakdown

    Booths have been divided into three areas. Polling places have been split between those near Mount Druitt (south-west), near Blacktown (east), and those in the north-western part of the seat.

    The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 66.7% in the east to just over 71% in the north-west and south-west.

    Voter groupALP 2PP %Total votes% of votes
    North-West71.324,00128.0
    East66.720,96224.5
    South-West71.211,10613.0
    Other votes64.99,12310.7
    Pre-poll70.120,37723.8

    Two-party-preferred votes in Chifley at the 2016 federal election

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    4 COMMENTS

    1. Rooty Hill and its RSL are in this seat.

      Why was there so much media about Gillard in Western Sydney when she was PM? One thing I remember is that she did a visit to Rooty Hill RSL, and Rooty Hill RSL popped up reasonably often from political talking heads. I didn’t follow politics closely at the time and assumed that Western Sydney consisted of marginal seats and swinging voters, but there are so many safe Labor seats that I can’t remember them all.

    2. New Liberal candidate is local Livingston Chettipally.

      Ed has been a standout performer for Labor and should increase his margin to 20%+.

    3. Got a lot of time for Ed Husic. Very genuine and respectful MP.

      One thing I will say is that there will be more and more pockets of Liberal-voting areas on the outskirts of this seat, especially as the developments continue to occur around Ropes Crossing and up to Marsden Park. But this will hardly make a dent in the vote as the central component of the seat is so heavily Labor.

      Might make the next redistribution interesting though. This could get smaller as a seat.

    4. Hawkeye
      Agree completely. Doesn’t Husic show up most of the other Labor MP’s ?. Really impressive

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