Southern River – WA 2013

LIB 1.8%

Incumbent MP
Peter Abetz, since 2008.

 

Geography
Southern River covers southern parts of Canning and Gosnells council areas, including the suburbs of Canning Vale, Southern River and Huntingdale.

Redistribution
The boundary between Gosnells and Southern River was realigned. The previous boundary largely followed a straight line, but the new boundary follows suburb boundaries.

This resulted in parts of Gosnells and Thornlie transferred to Gosnells and Huntingdale transferred to Southern River, and the margin was increased from 1.6% to 1.8%.

History
The seat of Southern River has existed since 1996, and has always been won by the party that won the election.

The seat was originally won by the Liberal Party’s Monica Holmes. The seat was created as a marginal Labor seat, partly out of remnants of the Labor seat of Kenwick. Holmes defeated sitting Member for Kenwick, Judyth Watson.

In 2001, Holmes was defeated by the ALP’s Paul Andrews. Andrews won a second term in 2005, defeating an attempt by Holmes to return to Parliament.

In 2008, Andrews was defeated by new Liberal candidate Peter Abetz.

Candidates
Sitting Liberal MP Peter Abetz is running for re-election. The ALP is running Susy Thomas.

Assessment
Southern River is a very marginal seat. While Abetz should benefit from a personal vote after his first term, the seat will likely go with the statewide trend.

2008 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Peter AbetzLIB9,38245.0+7.4
Paul AndrewsALP8,11939.0-8.4
Nicola WisemanGRN2,14910.3+5.5
Renise JudgeFF6483.1-0.7
Scott KuipersCDP5342.6-0.4

2008 two-candidate-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Peter AbetzLIB10,75951.6+6.8
Paul AndrewsALP10,07348.4-6.8

 

 

Polling booths in Southern River at the 2008 WA state election. East in blue, Central in green, West in orange.

Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three areas: East, Central and West. Booths in Canning local government area have been grouped as West. Booths in Gosnells LGA have been grouped as Central and East.

The Liberal Party topped the poll with a vote from 46-49% in the West and Centre. The ALP topped the poll with 41% to 38% for the Liberal Party in the East.

Voter groupLIB %ALP %GRN %Total votes% of ordinary votes
West48.6336.779.815,27036.59
Central46.4539.259.385,15235.77
East38.1741.0811.803,98227.65
Other votes44.6738.159.984,278

Liberal primary votes in Southern River at the 2008 WA state election.

Labor primary votes in Southern River at the 2008 WA state election.

Greens primary votes in Southern River at the 2008 WA state election.

About the Author

Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room.

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