Narre Warren North – Victoria 2018

ALP 4.6%

Incumbent MP
Luke Donnellan, since 2002.

Geography
South-eastern Melbourne. The electorate covers Hallam, Narre Warren and Narre Warren North, as well as parts of Berwick, Endeavour Hills and Harkaway. The electorate covers northern parts of the City of Casey.

History
Narre Warren North was created in 2002 as a notional Liberal seat. It was won at that year’s election by the ALP’s Luke Donnellan, who has been re-elected three times: in 2006, 2010 and 2014.

Candidates

Assessment
Narre Warren North is a marginal seat, but does lean towards Labor.

2014 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Luke Donnellan Labor 17,421 46.6 +2.3
Amanda Stapledon Liberal 14,849 39.7 +0.1
Karen Jones Greens 2,114 5.7 -1.3
Mery Mekhail Australian Christians 1,012 2.7 +2.7
Robert George White Rise Up Australia 902 2.4 +2.4
Wasim Qureshi Independent 550 1.5 +1.5
Chris Blackburn Democratic Labour Party 527 1.4 -1.3
Informal 2,706 6.8

2014 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Luke Donnellan Labor 20,392 54.6 -0.2
Amanda Stapledon Liberal 16,981 45.4 +0.2

Booth breakdown

Booths in Narre Warren North have been divided into three areas: east, west and south.

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 51.6% in the east to 60.6% in the west.

Voter group ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
West 60.6 9,254 24.8
East 51.6 8,720 23.3
South 53.8 4,905 13.1
Other votes 52.3 6,943 18.6
Pre-poll 52.8 7,553 20.2

Two-party-preferred votes in Narre Warren North at the 2014 Victorian state election

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3 COMMENTS

  1. Narre Warren North is the old Berwick. Though the name changed with the 2001 redistribution, the margin didn’t. Yet Berwick had always been a Liberal seat, whilst Narre Warren North has always been a Labor seat.

  2. The only way the liberal party can win the next elections for narre warren north is by preselecting a candidate from the Sri Lankan community who form 5,500 families in casey.

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