Buderim – QLD 2017

LNP 11.8%

Incumbent MP
Steve Dickson (ON), since 2009. Previously Member for Kawana 2006-2009.

Geography
Sunshine Coast. Buderim covers the central Sunshine Coast suburbs of Buderim, Mountain Creek, Sippy Downs, Kuluin, Rosemount and Diddillibah.

Redistribution
Buderim shifted south, losing Kunda Park to Ninderry, and gaining Sippy Downs from Kawana. These changes cut the LNP margin from 12.2% to 11.8%.


History
The seat of Buderim was created at the 2009 state election, taking in parts of Kawana and Maroochydore.

The seat of Kawana had been created at the 2001 election, and was held from 2001 to 2006 by Chris Cummins of the ALP, who defeating the sitting Liberal MP for Mooloolah in 2001.

Cummins was defeated in 2006 by Liberal candidate Steve Dickson.

In 2009, Dickson moved to the new seat of Buderim, and was re-elected in 2012 and 2015.

Dickson resigned from the Liberal National Party in January 2017 due to a disagreement over medicinal cannabis and joined One Nation as their sole state MP.

Candidates

Assessment
Buderim on paper is not a particularly strong seat for One Nation – the seat was ranked 59th out of 93 in terms of the One Nation Senate vote in 2016. Presumably the sitting member will have a personal vote which will give him a chance of winning re-election but it won’t be easy. The Liberal National Party will be eager to take back this seat.

2015 election result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Steve Dickson Liberal National 15,29752.6-9.652.3
Elaine Hughes Labor 6,62722.8+6.623.5
Tess LazarusPalmer United Party3,78113.0+13.012.7
Sue Etheridge Greens 3,36611.6+0.910.9
Others0.5
Informal6252.1

2015 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Steve Dickson Liberal National 16,35362.2-13.961.8
Elaine Hughes Labor 9,95437.8+13.938.2
Exhausted2,7649.5

Booth breakdown

Booths in Buderim have been divided into three areas: east, north and west.

The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 57.4% in the east to 64.6% in the north.

The Palmer United Party primary vote ranged from 11.8% in the west to 15.5% in the east, while the Greens primary vote ranged from 11% in the north to 12.3% in the west.

Voter groupPUP prim %GRN prim %LNP 2PP %Total votes% of votes
West11.812.361.58,96338.4
East15.511.457.43,74113.8
North12.211.064.62,89610.7
Other votes12.89.762.911,47342.4

Election results in Buderim at the 2015 QLD state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes, Palmer United Party primary votes and Greens primary votes.

About the Author

Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room.

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