ALP 16.7%
Incumbent MP
Rachel Nolan, since 2001.
Geography
South-East Queensland. Ipswich covers the central suburbs of the city of Ipswich on the southern side of Bundamba creek, specifically the Ipswich central business district, Woodend, Booval, Newtown, Eastern Heights, Raceview, Churchill, Yamanto and parts of Bundamba.
History
The seat of Ipswich was first created in 1860, and existed continuously until 1960. It was restored at the 1972 election. The seat has been held by the ALP since 1983.
The newly restored seat of Ipswich was first won in 1972 by Llewellyn Edwards. He was appointed to the ministry in 1974. In 1978 he became Deputy Premier and Liberal Party leader, and continued in those roles until his retirement in 1983.
David Hamill won the seat for the ALP in 1983. He served as a minister in the Goss Labor government from 1989 to 1996. Hamill served as Treasurer in the Beattie government’s first term from 1998 to 2001, when he retired.
Rachel Nolan won Ipswich in 2001. She has served as a minister in the Bligh government since 2009.
Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Rachel Nolan is running for re-election. The LNP is running Ian Berry. Katter’s Australian Party is running Will Keys. Also running is controversial independent and former Greens candidate Patricia Petersen, again running as an independent.
- Robert Jeremy (Independent)
- Patricia Petersen (Independent)
- Tim Stieler (Family First)
- Will Keys (Katter’s Australian Party)
- Ian Berry (Liberal National)
- Veronica White (Greens)
- Rachel Nolan (Labor)
Political situation
The seat of Ipswich is a safe Labor seat, although you’d have to expect the 16.7% margin to be cut down substantially.
2009 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Rachel Nolan | ALP | 16,598 | 60.2 | -5.8 |
| Suzie Holmes | LNP | 8,018 | 29.1 | +3.2 |
| Peter Luxton | GRN | 1,848 | 6.7 | -1.3 |
| Elwyn Denman | FF | 1,125 | 4.1 | +4.1 |
2009 two-candidate-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Rachel Nolan | ALP | 17,581 | 66.7 | -4.7 |
| Suzie Holmes | LNP | 8,774 | 33.3 | +4.7 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Ipswich have been divided into three areas, in the south, east and west. The ALP vote peaked at over 60% in the south and east, compared to 58.4% in the west.
Polling booths in Ipswich at the 2009 state election. East in green, West in blue, South in orange.
| Voter group | ALP % | LNP % | GRN % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South | 60.1 | 30.8 | 5.3 | 11,479 | 41.6 |
| East | 60.6 | 27.7 | 7.4 | 8,341 | 30.2 |
| West | 58.4 | 28.6 | 9.1 | 2,532 | 9.2 |
| Other votes | 60.4 | 27.6 | 7.5 | 5,237 | 19.0 |
Labor primary votes in Ipswich at the 2009 state election.
Liberal National primary votes in Ipswich at the 2009 state election.
Family First Party is not on the list?
Please add.
Tony,
Don’t discount Ian Berry. If he is still the same bouncing berry from QLS days then Nolan is surely gone.
I’m not from Queensland so would someone (Ben?) mind sharing with me why She Who Must Not Be Named is such a “controversial” candidate?
Looks like she has a number of tenacious one-eyed supporters on here, but so do lots of other candidates, so it can’t just be that?
Reading previous comments it is about one-eyed supporters under numerous different alias’ coming from exactly the same IP and email addresses not existing.
@MDMConnell,
Her supporters have a history of pretending to be numerous people. Also she has tended to be a very strange campaign, often accusing her opponents of extreme actions and getting into fights with other campaigns online.
My prediction: Labor retain, with Katter’s party polling well
I am going to call a long shot, and say Rachel’s primary vote will fall so substantially I suspect she will lose as Katter preferences and maybe even Patricia’s preferences could help Ian Berry limp over the line. One to watch!
If there is a 10 % swing statewide presumably at least one seat over 15% could go and this might be it, although Katter might soak up some of the swing.
Labor retain after a nerve-wracking swing.
Take that Nolan, good riddance to you and your days as a useless MP!!
Don’t get too excited Phil, Ian has secured himself a job for 3 years only…..this is one of the seats that fall once in 100 years. Labor could say nothing for 3 years and win this back. Not saying that’s a good thing, but it’s what will happen.
The independent who was supposedly a shoe-in for this seat did very poorly for the hype. Under 10%!!!!!!! What a poor showing.