Glass House – Queensland 2012

LNP 5.8%

Incumbent MP
Andrew Powell, since 2009.

Geography
South-East Queensland. Glass House includes parts of Moreton Bay and Sunshine Coast council areas. It stretches from the northern outskirts of Caboolture, as well as Elimbah, Beerburrum, Glass House Mountains, Eudlo, Palmwoods, Maleny, Woodford, Mount Mee and Conondale.

History
The seat of Glass House has existed in its current form since 2001, although a seat with the same name existed from 1986 to 1992.

Carolyn Male first won the seat for the ALP in 2001. She was re-elected in 2004 and 2006, but the redistribution before the 2009 election made Glass House much harder for the ALP to win. Male instead ran in the new seat of Pine Rivers, and won that seat.

Glass House was won in 2009 by the LNP’s Andrew Powell.

Candidates
Sitting Liberal National MP Andrew Powell is running for re-election. The ALP is running Ryan Moore. The Greens are running Stewart Luke.

Political situation
Glass House is a marginal seat but should be safely retained by the LNP in 2012.

2009 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Andrew Powell LNP 13,009 48.6 +15.0
Jenny Hansen Read ALP 9,035 33.8 -2.3
Jenny Fitzgibbon GRN 4,713 17.6 +8.0

2009 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Andrew Powell LNP 13,860 55.8 +5.8
Jenny Hansen Read ALP 10,975 44.2 -5.8

Booth breakdown
Booths in Glass House have been divided into three areas: north, central and south. Booths in Moreton Bay LGA have been grouped together as ‘south’ while those in the Sunshine Coast region have been divided into north and central.

The LNP topped the poll in all three areas, with the LNP vote ranging from 44.7% in the south to 50.7% in the north. The ALP’s vote peaked at 42.3% in the south, but dropped to 25.8% in the north. In the north, the Greens came close to outpolling the ALP, with 23.5% of the vote.

Polling booths in Glass House at the 2009 state election. North in green, Central in blue, South in orange.

 

Voter group LNP % ALP % GRN % Total votes % of votes
North 50.7 25.8 23.5 8,527 31.9
South 44.7 42.3 13.1 7,961 29.8
Central 49.5 34.5 16.0 4,730 17.7
Other votes 50.4 33.2 16.5 5,539 20.7
Liberal National primary votes in Glass House at the 2009 state election.
Labor primary votes in Glass House at the 2009 state election.
Greens primary votes in Glass House at the 2009 state election.

6 COMMENTS

  3. Katter’s Australian Party to win
    They are stannding a strong candidate, a lawyer with specific expertise in Trade issues affecting the farmers of the area who is also an environmentalist with specific knowledge of coal seam gas issues affecting the Nambour geological basin underlying the electorate. He is also a registered migration agent and is expected to pick up the One Nation votes. He also has a union background!

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