Melbourne Ports – Election 2010

ALP 7.2%

Incumbent MP
Michael Danby, since 1998.

Geography
Inner south of Melbourne. Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne.

History
Melbourne Ports is an original Federation electorate. After originally being won by the Protectionist party, it has been held by the ALP consistently since 1906, although it has rarely been held by large margins.

Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. Mauger was re-elected in 1903 but in 1906 moved to the new seat of Maribyrnong, which he held until his defeat in 1910.

Melbourne Ports was won in 1906 by Labor candidates James Mathews. Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931.

Mathews was succeeded in 1931 by Jack Holloway. Holloway had won a shock victory over Prime Minister Stanley Bruce in the seat of Flinders in 1929, before moving to the much-safer Melbourne Ports in 1931. Holloway had served as a junior minister in the Scullin government, and served in the Cabinet of John Curtin and Ben Chifley throughout the 1940s. He retired at the 1951 election and was succeeded by state MP Frank Crean.

Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. Crean served as Treasurer for the first two years of the Whitlam government, but was pushed aside in late 1974 in the midst of difficult economic times, and moved to the Trade portfolio. He served as Deputy Prime Minister for the last four months of the Whitlam government, and retired in 1977.

Crean was replaced by Clyde Holding, who had served as Leader of the Victorian Labor Party from 1967 until 1976. He won preselection against Simon Crean, son of Frank. Holding served in the Hawke ministry from 1983 until the 1990 election, and served as a backbencher until his retirement in 1998.

Holding was replaced by Michael Danby in 1998, and Danby has won re-election at every subsequent election, although never with huge margins, and a margin as small as 3% in 2004.

Candidates

  • Kevin Ekendahl (Liberal)
  • Sue Plowright (Greens)
  • Michael Danby (Labor) – Member for Melbourne Ports since 1998.
  • Christian Vega (Sex Party)
  • Gregory Storer (Secular Party)
  • Daniel Emmerson (Family First)

Political situation
This seat is not held by a huge margin, but in the past has shown relatively small swings. While there is certainly potential for the Liberals to perform well in Caulfield, the Labor and Greens vote in St Kilda makes the seat hard for the Liberals. The seat could fall if the Liberals perform well, but it seems unlikely.

2007 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Michael Danby ALP 36,556 42.47 +3.22
Adam Held LIB 34,154 39.68 -3.26
Phillip Walker GRN 12,941 15.03 +0.93
John Mathieson DEM 1,527 1.77 +0.42
Rebecca Gebbing FF 731 0.85 +0.31
Aaron Isherwood CEC 172 0.20 +0.02

2007 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Michael Danby ALP 49,191 57.15 +3.41
Adam Held LIB 36,890 42.85 -3.41

Booth breakdown
Melbourne Ports covers all of Port Phillip council area, western parts of Glen Eira council and those parts of the City of Melbourne south of the Yarra river. Booths in Glen Eira have been grouped as Caulfield. The remainder of the seat has been divided between Port Melbourne in the north and St Kilda in the centre.

In Caulfield, the Liberal Party does best, with the ALP only managing 51% of the two-party preferred vote, with the Greens on 11%. The Greens and Labor both do a bit better in Port Melbourne, with a 55% Labor two-party vote and a 12% Greens vote. St Kilda stands out, with a 22% Greens vote and a 68% two-party vote for the ALP.

Polling booths in Melbourne Ports. Port Melbourne in red, St Kilda in blue, Caulfield in green.

Voter group GRN % ALP 2CP % Total votes % of votes
Port Melbourne 12.56 55.94 22,002 25.56
St Kilda 22.03 68.02 19,687 22.87
Caulfield 11.34 51.42 17,168 19.94
Other votes 14.30 53.86 27,224 31.63

Two-party preferred results of the 2007 federal election in Melbourne Ports.

Greens primary vote at the 2007 federal election in Melbourne Ports.