Comments on: Bradfield by-election

By: Mrodowicz

Mrodowicz — Sat, 05 Dec 2009 06:47:21 +0000

Predicting results on TPP: Liberal 59%/ Greens 41%

By: Tony

Tony — Thu, 03 Dec 2009 02:35:04 +0000

deconst says; think Abbott in charge will all seem like a bad dream in a few months. The question now is whether the conservatives can hold on to the reins long enough to block the CPRS for a third (3rd!!) time in February

I think Tony might just be there a lot longer than you think. Getting the CPRS through was always about timing. The longer the government waits the less chance it had to get it through. The public are starting to learn more about this tax and the coalition’s public struggle has certainly brought more and more out against it.

If they’re worried about the revised governments CPRS then there’s no way they would even consider the very destructive option that the greens are pushing.

Higgins is the big test. The liberals have a good margin, the greens have a prominent candidate. If Kathy canters in with that seat then the government might have to worry about their own ranks. I can’t imagine that too many labor members would be happy about the cost of living rises for pensioners, fixed income earners and small businesses.

By: deconst

deconst — Wed, 02 Dec 2009 22:58:37 +0000

Stewart J, any swing against the Liberals this weekend will be used as justification by the moderates to take back control. If the polls plummet further, Turnbull will get another go and the CPRS will get through.

I think Abbott in charge will all seem like a bad dream in a few months. The question now is whether the conservatives can hold on to the reins long enough to block the CPRS for a third (3rd!!) time in February. That seems an age away..

If Fletcher & O’Dwyer both get resoundly swung against but get in still, this may all happen much sooner. Thus, ironically, the Greens sending a message to the Liberals on climate change will mean the CPRS that the Greens are against will more likely be pushed through the senate.

By: Stewart J

Stewart J — Wed, 02 Dec 2009 04:59:33 +0000

I almost suspect that Gillard is reintroducing the CPRS Bills in February on the basis (hope?) that Dwyer and Fletcher will be elected this weekend, this will change the balance of power within the Lib Party Room, there’ll be another change of Leader, and then the CPRS will be passed. Or something like that…

Of course it could just be a delaying tactic so that they can go to an election in August with the issue still fresh in voters minds.

By: Nick C

Nick C — Tue, 01 Dec 2009 00:03:34 +0000

Presumably he has to tow the party line now. Party line now being defer or defeat, today at least.

By: Philip Dowling

Philip Dowling — Mon, 30 Nov 2009 23:59:50 +0000

Does anybody know what Paul Fletcher’s stand on the ETS legislation is now?

By: Philip Dowling

Philip Dowling — Mon, 30 Nov 2009 10:14:42 +0000

Have emailed Andrew Priestley to ask him to clarify his understanding of the Journalists’ Code of Ethics. I bet this will come as a concept “shock” to him.

By: Philip Dowling

Philip Dowling — Mon, 30 Nov 2009 03:38:23 +0000

Basic site up earlier than planned. It is clear that The North Shore Times thinks that it the party newsletter for one candidate, or at least this is the opinion of two voters who rang me directly.
Dowling4Bradfield.com

By: Philip Dowling

Philip Dowling — Thu, 26 Nov 2009 10:17:52 +0000

Have been concentrating on personal contact. Boy, am I sunburnt. More people know me, or are acquainted with me, or my wife and four children in the electorate than Paul Fletcher. I have been trying to get the message out to them personally that I am running and hence on to their networks, by word of mouth.
I have also been talking to electors. With so many candidates, and Lib turmoil, I am still finessing a message that will cut through to electors.
Site should be up by next Wednesday at latest.

By: Nick C

Nick C — Tue, 24 Nov 2009 12:40:38 +0000

Oops, sorry Philip.
Do you have a campaign website?