Durack – Australia 2013

LIB 13.7%

Incumbent MP
Barry Haase, since 2010. Previously Member for Kalgoorlie 1998-2010.

Geography
North of Western Australia. Durack covers a majority of Western Australia’s landmass, stretching from the northern Wheatbelt outside of Perth, covering the coast all the way to the Northern Territory border. Major towns include Geraldton, Broome and Port Hedland.

History
Durack was created in 2010, out of northern parts of O’Connor and Kalgoorlie.

Kalgoorlie had previously swung between Labor and Liberal, and was held by the ALP’s Graeme Campbell from 1980.

Campbell was expelled from the ALP in 1995, and was re-elected in 1996.

Campbell lost to the Liberal Party’s Barry Haase in 1998.

Haase moved to Durack in 2010, and won a fifth term.

Candidates
Sitting Liberal MP Barry Haase is not running for re-election.

  • Des Headland (Palmer United Party)
  • Ian James (Greens)
  • Melissa Price (Liberal)
  • Shane Foreman (Rise Up Australia)
  • Shane Van Styn (Nationals)
  • Judy Sudholz (Citizens Electoral Council)
  • Grahame Gould (Australian Christians)
  • Ian Rose (Family First)
  • Daron Keogh (Labor)
  • Aaron Todd (Katter’s Australian Party)

Assessment
Durack is a safe Liberal seat. The Nationals were only 6.3% behind Labor in 2010. It’s conceivable that the Nationals candidate could overtake the Labor candidate in 2013, but the Nationals will still be a long way away from beating the Liberal Party. The Nationals will be helped out by the retirement of sitting MP Barry Haase.

2010 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Barry HaaseLIB32,44645.07-1.00
Shane HillALP17,29924.03-8.80
Lynne CraigieNAT12,74217.70+9.67
Julie MathesonGRN6,6619.25+3.32
Jane ForemanFF1,7292.40+1.09
Mac ForsythCDP1,1211.56-0.32

2010 two-candidate-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Barry HaaseLIB45,84363.67+6.02
Shane HillALP26,15536.33-6.02
Polling places in Durack at the 2010 federal election. Gascoyne in green, Geraldton in red, Kimberley in light blue, Mid West in blue, Pilbara in yellow and Wheatbelt in orange. Click to enlarge.

Polling places in Durack at the 2010 federal election. Gascoyne in green, Geraldton in red, Kimberley in light blue, Mid West in blue, Pilbara in yellow and Wheatbelt in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into six areas. Those in the Geraldton urban area have been grouped together. The rest of the electorate was split into five areas. From north to south, these are Kimberley, Pilbara, Gascoyne, Mid West and Wheatbelt.

The Liberal Party won large two-party-preferred majorities in most areas, ranging from 62.5% in Geraldton to 71.5% in the Mid West. The Liberal Party won a relatively slim majority of 52.4% in Kimberley and 57.6% in Pilbara.

The Nationals candidate came third, with the Nationals vote varying from 13% in Geraldton to 27.9% in the Wheatbelt.

Voter groupGRN %NAT %LIB 2PP %Total votes% of votes
Geraldton7.3912.9962.5315,96422.17
Pilbara10.2720.5157.6311,95216.60
Wheatbelt4.6827.8679.479,20212.78
Kimberley17.3713.8252.427,53410.46
Mid West6.1919.7171.456,4288.93
Gascoyne8.8021.1464.493,5004.86
Other votes10.3814.9662.3517,41824.19
Two-party-preferred votes in Durack at the 2010 federal election.

Two-party-preferred votes in Durack at the 2010 federal election. Click to enlarge.

Nationals primary votes in Durack at the 2010 federal election. Click to enlarge.

Nationals primary votes in Durack at the 2010 federal election. Click to enlarge.

Two-party-preferred votes in southern parts of Durack at the 2010 federal election.

Two-party-preferred votes in southern parts of Durack at the 2010 federal election.

Nationals primary votes in southern parts of Durack at the 2010 federal election.

Nationals primary votes in southern parts of Durack at the 2010 federal election.

Two-party-preferred votes in Geraldton at the 2010 federal election.

Two-party-preferred votes in Geraldton at the 2010 federal election.

Nationals primary votes in Geraldton at the 2010 federal election.

Nationals primary votes in Geraldton at the 2010 federal election.

About the Author

Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room.

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