Comments on: Queensland ‘09: winners and losers

By: Oz

Oz — Fri, 03 Apr 2009 06:17:13 +0000

“outside perspectives can be useful”

Indeed.

By: leanne minshull

leanne minshull — Thu, 02 Apr 2009 06:15:16 +0000

Hi Stewart J, I’m happy to forward to you and anyone else who is a greens party member the report that I am compiling that collates the feedback from people who actually worked on the campaign in Qld. It also outlines how (the very scant) resources were allocated and the reasons why.

Not sure about the assumptions re mt cootha and am also happy to go through that with you.

if anyone else is a greens member and wants to be properly informed, let me know. You can email me on leanne.minshull@aph.gov.au. this is the first time I have gone on to a blog and probably won’t bother coming back. Its a little uninformed although outside perspectives can be useful

By: Oz

Oz — Mon, 23 Mar 2009 20:54:51 +0000

“With hindsight it seems that this should have been the approach.”

Didn’t even need hindsight. A lot of QLD Greens seemed to seriously believe they had a strong chance in Indooroopilly. I thought it was pretty clear this wasn’t the case.

By: Mrodowicz

Mrodowicz — Mon, 23 Mar 2009 10:24:41 +0000

I agree with Ben here. A fairly disappointing result in Indooroopilly. A high profile incumbent of 8 years and yet only a swing of +8.6% to the Greens vote, and a -15% downswing on Lee’s performance as an ALP candidate. Furthermore, Lee’s had a good deal of publicity since his defection. I didn’t believe there was much of a chance of the Greens holding the seat, but I predicted Lee would poll better – around 32% with the LNP in the mid-40’s, thereby losing on account of an insufficient preference flow from Labor. And yes he does no credit to himself by not conceding defeat, when it’s pretty bloody obvious to anyone he can’t win.
I’m interested in what the Greens campaign strategy was. To a degree, an emphasis on Indooroopilly sounds reasonable, since it was the only seat the Greens could even dream of winning. Mt Coot-tha was unwinnable for the Greens when you consider the distribution of the vote between the parties at the 2006 election. Devoting large resources into a parliamentary seat could be considered pretty defensible when you are looking at 1 seat representation versus no representation. Or should the Greens have realized the seat would be unlikely to be won, and worked instead on building up their strong seats in order to be competitive in these in 2012? With hindsight it seems that this should have been the approach.

By: Oz

Oz — Mon, 23 Mar 2009 08:33:42 +0000

Greens swing is actually down to 0.1%. And Lee’s losing votes as the count continues.

By: Stewart J

Stewart J — Sun, 22 Mar 2009 13:03:43 +0000

There! Finally dropped you into my favourites!
Must catch up some time soon and talk about what actually happened in Qld. You say the Greens campaign was their most professional – I’d be interested in hearing how that turned out on the ground. Same goes for the resource allocation you mention vis-a-vis Indooroopilly vs Mt Coot-tha and other Brisbane seats. And maybe how Lee DID manage to increase the Green vote in Indooroopilly by 10%