UK 2011: Scottish and Welsh results

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4:32pm – I’m stopping the blog now, most of the remaining results will come in tonight, with the AV referendum results and Northern Irish results coming in late tonight and into tomorrow. I’ll post again with the final Welsh and Scottish figures.

4:13pm – The final seats have come in from the Lothian region (which covers Edinburgh). In 2007 the SNP won two of nine seats, this time they won eight.

3:46pm – The result is also now concluded in Glasgow. The SNP gained two seats, Labour lost two, and the Lib Dems again lost one. The Conservatives and Greens each maintained their single seat.

3:43pm – We now also have a final result from Central Scotland. In 2007 Labour won 8 seats and the SNP two, and then the SNP won five list seats and the Lib Dems and Conservatives each won one. This time around the SNP gained four seats and Labour lost five. The list result has meant that overall the SNP gained two, Labour lost two, and the Lib Dems lost one.

3:38pm – The first regional result has been declared in South Wales West. All seven constituencies were won by Labour, which is the same as in 2007. The remaining four list seats went two Conservative, one Plaid Cymru and one Liberal Democrat. Labour was only entitled to 6/11 seats, but because they won 7 constituencies the second Plaid Cymru seat was lost, despite them winning enough list votes to win a second seat. The rare case where this system is not proportional. In Wales now we have all constituency results except for two Cardiff seats and all eight North Wales seats.

1:43pm – It looks like it will be a few hours before we get regional results. We almost have all results now from Glasgow. Last time nine seats went to Labour and one went to the SNP. This time each party has four seats, with one more to be declared. Overall the SNP has gained 14 seats and Labour has lost 10, with the Liberal Democrats losing one and the Conservatives losing three.

12:55pm – We now have most of the results declared from the region of Central Scotland. In 2007, Labour won 8 of 10 seats in the region. This time Labour has 2, the SNP has 6, and one is yet to be called. I assume the declaration of the regional list result will come shortly after the final seat is declared.

12:40pm – In Wales, Labour has so far won eight seats and the Conservatives have won one. The Conservatives gained the formerly Lib Dem seat of Montgomeryshire. Labour has won the independent seat of Blaenau Gwent and the Plaid Cymru seat of Llaneli.

12:35pm – So far 10 Scottish constituencies have declared. The SNP has held one of their seats, Labour has held three of their seats, Labour gained one Conservative seat, and the SNP gained five Labour seats. The overall figures are 6 SNP, 4 Labour.

12:19pm – The SNP has retained Dundee City East and gained the Labour seat of Glasgow Southside.

12:03pm – The SNP has won a fourth seat – Airdrie & Shotts. So far all four of their seats were notionally Labour. Not a single incumbent SNP seat has been called yet. It’s worth remembering that, in 2007, the SNP won only 21 constituencies to 37 Labour constituencies. If they win a lot of single-member races it may simply reduce their number of list seats. However, they are currently up 13% overall, which should mean they win more seats overall. It does seem plausible now that the SNP will win a majority.

11:57pm – Labour has retained Uddingston and Bellshill on the southeastern fringe of Glasgow. Interestingly, the seat of Eastwood, which was previously held by Labour but was notionally Conservative in the redistribution, has been won by Labour. Not a good sign for the Tories.

11:48pm – The SNP has now also gained Clydesdale.

11:07am – The SNP has gained another former Labour seat, this time it is Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse.

10:32am – In the two seats reporting so far, the SNP’s vote is up 13% while Labour’s vote is down less than 1%. Most of the swing comes from the Liberal Democrats, who are down 10.7% to 2.9%.

10:27am – First results from Scotland. Labour has retained Rutherglen in Glasgow, and the SNP has gained the nearby seat of East Kilbride.

9:40am – According to this useful guide, the first results this morning should come from constituency races in the Scottish and Welsh parliaments and from English councils. We should be seeing results from Scottish and Welsh constituencies around 12:30pm today, AEST. For now, things should be quiet for the morning.

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1 COMMENT

  1. Interesting election.

    The Tory vote stayed the same – a very good result for them.

    By contrast the lib dems got smashed and lost a lot of seats.

    Labour had a mixed bag, picking up a very respectable amount of council seats, and new councils. They also did very well in Wales, but they got belted in Scotland by the SNP. Plus most of the seats they picked up were at the expense of the lib dems and not the tories.

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