For my South-East Queensland predictions, check out last night’s post.
Central Queensland
I predict that the ALP will lose three seats to the LNP: Hervey Bay, Keppel and Mirani. This would happen on about 8% swing across the region, with the remaining Labor seats in Mackay and Rockhampton much safer.
Central Queensland region
North Queensland
In northern Queensland, I predict that Barron River, Burdekin and Whitsunday would likely fall. I’m predicting this based on a 7% swing.
Electorates around Cairns and Townsville
Western Queensland
I’m predicting that the only western Queensland ALP seat, Mount Isa, will fall.
Ben,
I actually come up with an identical net result to yours, albeit with a rather different seat composition.
42-42-5 from LNP gains in Mudgeeraba, Gaven, Broadwater, Southport, Coomera, Whitsunday, Burdekin*, Mirani*, Townsville, Barron River, Redcliffe, Springwood, Pumicestone, Aspley, Herve Bay, Cleveland, Chatsworth, Clayfield*, Toowoomba North and Indooropilly.
I then think Rosa Lee Long will retain Dalrymple. What’s your take on Indooropilly – to me, while I expect us to retain it, if the ALP-Green nexus changes, it doesn’t look as clear cut vs Ronan Lee as maybe it should. Mount Coot-tha looked the other outside chance for you guys, especially with Larissa Waters running.