Nominations for the federal election will close tomorrow, with those nominations being announced on Wednesday, when the ballot draws will be conducted. We should have the final list of candidates in ballot order by the end of Wednesday. I’ll do a blog post on Thursday morning with the final nominations information.
I have been regularly updating a list of federal candidates with the help of Nick Casmirri and a bunch of commenters (thanks to you all).
I thought I’d drop back onto the blog and give you an update on where we are up to in terms of candidate numbers.
As a comparison, check out this post I wrote at a similar point in last cycle.
If you’d like to examine the data yourself, it’s all here.
At the moment I have identified 783 candidates for the House of Representatives. This compares to 772 candidates I had identified in 2016 as of the morning of nominations closing. In 2016 we ended up with 996 candidates, so it looks likely we will end up somewhere similar this year.
It appears that there are substantially less groups running for the Senate this time around than in 2016, although there’s sure to be some last-minute announcements.
We’ve identified 150 Labor candidates (only missing Curtin, where Melissa Parke replaced the previous candidate at the last minute before withdrawing at an even laster minute). We’ve also identified 146 Greens candidates (missing in Calare, Fowler, Lingiari, Parkes and Solomon).
There have been 154 Coalition candidates announced so far, across 143 seats. A Liberal and a National are contesting Barker, Bass, Braddon, Durack, Eden-Monaro, Gilmore, Indi, Lyons, Mallee, O’Connor and Pearce. The Coalition is yet to announced in Blaxland, Cooper, Cunningham, Fowler, Lalor, McMahon, Werriwa and Whitlam. Four of those seats were places where the Liberal candidate withdrew due to section 44 concerns.
Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party has remarkably announced candidates in all 151 seats, although this should be taken with a grain of salt – a number of his supposed candidates have popped up and then disappeared. I wouldn’t be surprised if some of these candidates disappear. Having said that, this is the same strategy as in 2013, when the Palmer United Party ran a full slate of 150 candidates.
Other parties with large candidate numbers include:
- One Nation – 23
- Animal Justice – 21
- People’s Party – 18
- Australian Christians – 11
There is a median number of 5 candidate per seat, and the average is 5.18.
The seat of Mallee has eleven candidates, with no other seat having more than eight. The seat of Fowler only has two candidates, with no current Liberal or Greens candidate. There are also only three candidates in Blaxland, Lingiari, Solomon, Werriwa and Whitlam. I expect the Coalition and the Greens will end up running a full slate, so all of these seats should have at least 4 candidates.
I’ve now also added Senate candidates to the above document. I have listed multiple candidates for the major parties, while I’ve only listed the first candidate for all other parties.
So far we’ve identified 25 groups in New South Wales (although the Labor ticket is missing from the document), 19 each in Victoria and Queensland, 15 in Western Australia and 11 each in Tasmania and South Australia.
I’m sure there will be a bunch of groups who pop up at the last minute, but so far this is a big decline compared to 2016, when there were 42 groups in New South Wales, 40 in Queensland, 39 in Victoria, 29 in Western Australia, 24 in South Australia and 22 in Tasmania. This is plausible considering the double dissolution would have increased numbers and masked any effect of the change in the voting system which was implemented in early 2016.
All of the information currently in the spreadsheet has now been added to seat guides. I will update each seat guide to the final list on Thursday. I will include as many links as we can possibly find. If you have a link I should include for a candidate please post it in a comment or email it to me by midday on Wednesday. I won’t be making updates after the final update is made, and I will point to this as the reason why, so don’t be slack. At the moment I have individual candidate websites for 667 candidates, plus Facebook pages for a further 27.