Fairfax and Wright look gerrymandered. Not saying that they actually are, they just look like it with those odd attachments they both have in the west.

If you overlap them with the LGA boundaries, then I think both seats make sense. (Although in the case of Fairfax it’d be the pre-amalgamation LGA boundary.)

Hamish Coffee :If Hanson stood in Wright – which wouldn’t surprise me as it will make her a few quid again – her preferences would clearly go to the Nat there. With all due respect to anyone who lives there, it’s hardly prime progressive territory.
ON certainly wrecked the Nats in QLD in 1998, but they were an incoherent party and one largely made up of people who felt they were marginalised by a globalised world; so they were basically a more radical front of the National Party. I would say that the majority of these voters have found their way back with the Nats (or maybe the DLP).

The majority of new DLP members still come out of the ALP. We do see some coming in from the old Democrats and of course the traditional Qld National is attracted as well. I dont know of any that have come from One Nation. But that may come.

As for Hamish’s comment What? Hanson’s a Labor Party stooge now? Get real.
Pauline has made a habit of punishing the Liberals for not preferencing her in the past. I thought you’d be aware of that, and the fact that she helped elected Senator Furner in 2007

A few fairly minor nips and tucks to several seats, but no radical re-invention.

* Exchange of Forbes/Parkes for Wellington/Midwestern between Parkes and Calare (Nat objection- assume it benefits them in Calare).

* Re-uniting a few thousand electors in some rural shires (Tenterfield, Gwydir, Lachlan, Central Darling)

* Very minor touch ups to a handful of rural and urban seats.

* Most significant change is the proposed ‘McMahon’ being re-named ‘Reid’, with the existing division of Prospect being given the new name of ‘McMahon’.

ON certainly wrecked the Nats in QLD in 1998, but they were an incoherent party and one largely made up of people who felt they were marginalised by a globalised world; so they were basically a more radical front of the National Party. I would say that the majority of these voters have found their way back with the Nats (or maybe the DLP).

http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/10/20/2719269.htm?section=australia

Not that he has a chance after demonstrating that he doesn’t want to be there.

Tony, “I also heard on the grapevine that Pauline Hanson is going to stand in wright to draw the coalition vote over to the government. as she did in 2007 with the senate vote.” What? Hanson’s a Labor Party stooge now? Get real.

I meant in comparison to the draft boundaries (which, yes, did favour Labor). Sites like Pollbludger viewed the final boundaries as a boost to the LNP compared to the drafts, but as I say, I think it’s about a 50-50.

Sorry if I didn’t make that clear.

Peter Dutton isn’t standing again in Dickson because it is now notional labor seat. (1% margin) I dont know how you come to the conclusion that no one has anything to complain about. I think the ALP have come out way ahead in this lot.
I also heard on the grapevine that Pauline Hanson is going to stand in wright to draw the coalition vote over to the government. as she did in 2007 with the senate vote