Comments on: NSW redistribution submissions

By: Phil

Phil — Wed, 06 May 2009 23:32:19 +0000

Sydney is under quota and Wentworth over. So, somewhere Wentworth needs to lose some area. The Libs would choose Darlinghurst because it’s solid Labor, the ALP would prefer Clovelly because it’s less so, with Rosebery then transferred back to Sydney. Even with Clovelly gone I would think that the Lib margin would be around 5% in Wentworth.

By: Simon Copland

Simon Copland — Wed, 06 May 2009 08:33:54 +0000

Sorry, must have misread what Ben wrote.

By: MDMConnell

MDMConnell — Tue, 05 May 2009 23:14:48 +0000

Yeah, that’s right, isn’t it?

Labor propose Terrigal and Erina (good Liberal areas) be taken out of Robertson, and add in Wyoming and Niagra which are better for Labor.

They boost the margin in Robertson, not cut it.

This leaves Dobell better for the Libs, so then Labor add Gorokan and surrounding Labor regions from the Lake Macquarie seats to compensate.

By: MDMConnell

MDMConnell — Tue, 05 May 2009 23:07:03 +0000

Actually, I thought Terrigal was one of the better Liberal areas?

By: Simon Copland

Simon Copland — Tue, 05 May 2009 22:22:50 +0000

Interesting that Labor is advocating a move that will wipe out their margin in Robertson – is that an acknowledgement that with Belinda Neal in the seat they are likely to lose it anyway, so they may as well make Dobell safer in the process?

By: MDMConnell

MDMConnell — Tue, 05 May 2009 21:03:31 +0000

* It seems that Labor are really abolishing Hume. Their Goulburn-Camden seat is basically the old Macarthur before it got pushed in to Sydney.

* It’s interesting to note both parties make proposals they didn’t support last time: Labor moves Cunningham into Sutherland (which the Libs did in 2006), and the Liberals put Goulburn in E-M (which Labor did). Local MPs fought strongly to prevent Port Stephens going in to Newcastle…now both Labor and the Libs support it.

* Why would Labor want to put Clovelley in K-S? It’s one of the better Labor bits of Wentworth.

* Strange how both parties push Hughes further across Georges River, and Warringah further across Middle Harbour. These are very strange divisions.

* I’d be interested to know your thoughts on the three (that I can tell) non-partisan suggestions for the state: Dr Charles Richardson, Dr Mark Mulcair and Mr John Lush.

Dr Richardson largely reverses the changes from last time and abolishes a Sydney seat.

Dr Mulcair abolishes Riverina and moves Macarthur, Hughes, etc outward

Mr Lush abolishes Berowra and has Robertson pushing across the Hawkesbury River. He also abolishes E-M and creates a new seat in the north-west of Sydney.