Comments on: The Green tide? http://www.tallyroom.com.au/106 Elections and politics in Australia and around the world. Wed, 08 Sep 2010 07:38:50 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0 By: Wayne http://www.tallyroom.com.au/106/comment-page-1#comment-26 Wayne Tue, 28 Oct 2008 02:42:03 +0000 http://tallyroom.wordpress.com/?p=106#comment-26 http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24562393-601,00.html Any comments? http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24562393-601,00.html

Any comments?

]]> By: Justin-Paul Sammons http://www.tallyroom.com.au/106/comment-page-1#comment-25 Justin-Paul Sammons Wed, 22 Oct 2008 01:23:17 +0000 http://tallyroom.wordpress.com/?p=106#comment-25 There's also the inner-city Melbourne seats of Richmond and Brunswick - both are less than a 4% swing away from becoming Green. Northcote is the fourth Victorian state seat where the Greens out-poll the Liberals, but the ALP vs Greens margin there is 8.5%. At the 2007 by-elections in Williamstown and Albert Park (no Liberal candidates), the Greens increased their primary vote to 21.9% and 28.5%, respectively (both swings were around 9%). It will be interesting to see how many of those voters stay Green in 2010. There’s also the inner-city Melbourne seats of Richmond and Brunswick – both are less than a 4% swing away from becoming Green. Northcote is the fourth Victorian state seat where the Greens out-poll the Liberals, but the ALP vs Greens margin there is 8.5%.

At the 2007 by-elections in Williamstown and Albert Park (no Liberal candidates), the Greens increased their primary vote to 21.9% and 28.5%, respectively (both swings were around 9%). It will be interesting to see how many of those voters stay Green in 2010.

]]> By: Oz http://www.tallyroom.com.au/106/comment-page-1#comment-24 Oz Tue, 21 Oct 2008 23:54:42 +0000 http://tallyroom.wordpress.com/?p=106#comment-24 This submission to the Australian Parliament House Library also makes for good reading. http://www.aph.gov.au/Library/Pubs/RP/2008-09/09rp08.pdf Goes someway in quantifying the rise of The Greens, compares it to other minor parties and looks at what policies attract voters and what turn them off as well as having a look at what kind of people vote Green. This submission to the Australian Parliament House Library also makes for good reading.

http://www.aph.gov.au/Library/Pubs/RP/2008-09/09rp08.pdf

Goes someway in quantifying the rise of The Greens, compares it to other minor parties and looks at what policies attract voters and what turn them off as well as having a look at what kind of people vote Green.

]]> By: Ben Raue http://www.tallyroom.com.au/106/comment-page-1#comment-23 Ben Raue Tue, 21 Oct 2008 12:01:28 +0000 http://tallyroom.wordpress.com/?p=106#comment-23 Just because the middle ground of the election is fought on the economy doesn't mean that those issues matter everywhere. The type of voter the Greens are appealing to are much less likely to have the economy as their top issue. But I don't think it's possible to say what issues will dominate this election this far out. At this point in the last cycle (late 2005) climate change wasn't on the table as a major political issue, it really broke at the end of 2005. The next major climate change conference will take place in Copenhagen in late 2009, followed by the Rudd government's new ETS in 2010. I don't think you can say environmental issues will fall off the table. On the other hand, the economy will likely be beginning to recover by late 2010. I think the Greens won't have any trouble in raising the Rudd government's lack of real action on climate change and the various Labor governments' unpopularity. But I'm sure other issues will come up in the next two years. Just because the middle ground of the election is fought on the economy doesn’t mean that those issues matter everywhere. The type of voter the Greens are appealing to are much less likely to have the economy as their top issue.

But I don’t think it’s possible to say what issues will dominate this election this far out. At this point in the last cycle (late 2005) climate change wasn’t on the table as a major political issue, it really broke at the end of 2005.

The next major climate change conference will take place in Copenhagen in late 2009, followed by the Rudd government’s new ETS in 2010. I don’t think you can say environmental issues will fall off the table. On the other hand, the economy will likely be beginning to recover by late 2010.

I think the Greens won’t have any trouble in raising the Rudd government’s lack of real action on climate change and the various Labor governments’ unpopularity. But I’m sure other issues will come up in the next two years.

]]> By: Wayne http://www.tallyroom.com.au/106/comment-page-1#comment-22 Wayne Tue, 21 Oct 2008 10:22:36 +0000 http://tallyroom.wordpress.com/?p=106#comment-22 One question I am curious about is how will the Greens will address the increasing focus on economic issues in Australia? Recent polls have shown a refocus on economic issues over those of public transport, climate change and energy (the trump cards of the Greens). In 2007 the focus was on interest rates and petrol prices and the lack of perceived action on climate change. In 2009 or 2010 what will the Greens campaign on and will it work? One question I am curious about is how will the Greens will address the increasing focus on economic issues in Australia? Recent polls have shown a refocus on economic issues over those of public transport, climate change and energy (the trump cards of the Greens).

In 2007 the focus was on interest rates and petrol prices and the lack of perceived action on climate change. In 2009 or 2010 what will the Greens campaign on and will it work?

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